Sustainable Bond Market to Reach $1Trillion in 2025

February 3, 2025
by Dominic Shales

The global landscape for sustainable bonds is witnessing significant growth, with Moody’s Credit Rating Agency projecting that total annual sustainable bond issuances will reach an impressive $1 trillion in 2025. This marks the fifth consecutive year of robust growth in this sector.

According to the Moody’s report, the distribution of these issuances will be varied, with an estimated $620 billion attributed to green bonds, which are designed to finance environmentally friendly projects. Additionally, social bonds are expected to total around $150 billion, while sustainability bonds may reach $175 billion. Transition bonds aimed at funding a shift to low-carbon energy sources are projected to amount to $20 billion, with sustainability-linked bonds expected to add $35 billion to the total.

These figures indicate a growing commitment from governments and investors towards financing projects that prioritize environmental and social responsibility, highlighting a trend that is likely to impact various sectors, including those linked to climate technology. This trend reflects broader global efforts to address climate change and sustainable development objectives.

The increasing scale of sustainable bond issuances signals a shift in how capital markets are aligning with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) goals. Institutional investors, sovereign governments, and corporations alike are recognizing the financial and reputational benefits of raising capital through instruments that support sustainable development.

Driving Forces Behind the Growth

A key factor driving the surge in sustainable bonds is regulatory momentum. In the European Union, for instance, the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) and the EU Green Bond Standard are pushing issuers to improve transparency and align their financial instruments with environmental objectives. In the U.S., the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is increasing scrutiny on ESG disclosures, ensuring that issuers of sustainable bonds provide clear and verifiable impact reports.

Investor demand is another crucial element. A growing number of asset managers and pension funds are integrating ESG considerations into their portfolios, influenced by both regulatory requirements and shifting market expectations. 

The Role of Emerging Markets

While Europe and North America remain leaders in sustainable bond issuances, emerging markets are rapidly catching up. Countries such as Brazil, India, and China are ramping up their green financing efforts, driven by a combination of domestic policy incentives and international climate commitments. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) recently launched a $2 billion sustainable bond initiative aimed at funding climate-resilient infrastructure in developing nations.

However, challenges remain. Many emerging markets face higher borrowing costs, and the lack of standardized ESG reporting frameworks can deter investors. To address these issues, institutions like the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and the World Bank are increasingly involved in providing risk-sharing mechanisms that encourage sustainable bond issuances in developing economies.

The Challenges of Greenwashing

Despite the optimism surrounding sustainable bonds, concerns about “greenwashing” persist. Some issuers have faced criticism for overstating the environmental benefits of their projects or failing to provide sufficient impact reporting. To counter this, frameworks such as the Green Bond Principles (GBP) and Sustainability-Linked Bond Principles (SLBP), established by the International Capital Market Association (ICMA), are helping to set clearer guidelines.

As scrutiny intensifies, market participants are calling for enhanced third-party verification of bond proceeds. “Investors need transparency to ensure their capital is genuinely driving sustainable change,” says Nathalie Aubert, head of sustainable finance at BNP Paribas.

With sustainable bonds set to surpass $1 trillion in annual issuances, their role in financing the low-carbon transition has never been more critical. However, ensuring credibility and impact will be key to maintaining investor confidence and driving long-term growth in the sector.